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The rise in Scotland’s annual inflation rate in recent months is more reflective of Scotland’s average house price falling this time last year, rather than increasing in recent months. This is known as a base effect, as explained in our Beware base effects blog. Scotland's average house price fell in winter 2022 to 2023, reaching a low point in February 2023. Scotland's average house price returned to mid-2022 price levels by mid-2023 and has since remained comparatively stable. This new release uses the Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) to provide more insight into the UK private rental sector and includes headline UK HPI statistics. Average private rent for Scotland was £947 in March 2024, up 10.5% (£90) from a year earlier.
Figure 1: UK rents inflation is rising to record-highs, while UK house price annual inflation remains negative
All statistics are non-seasonally adjusted estimates, unless explicitly stated otherwise. While mitigation efforts are made, price changes at local levels can be influenced by the type and number of properties collected in any given period, which may lead to volatility. Longer-term trends should be considered for lower-level geographic breakdowns, rather than monthly movements. For Great Britain in March 2024, the average private rent was highest for detached properties (£1,446) and lowest for flats and maisonettes (£1,211).
UK private rent and house prices
Average private rent for England was £1,285 in March 2024, up 9.1% (£107) from a year earlier. This is the highest annual rise since this series began in 2006 and was up from 8.8% in February 2024. PIPR replaced the Index of Private Housing Rental Prices (IPHRP) and Private Rental Market Summary Statistics (PRMS) in March 2024. PIPR produces rent prices that are comparable over time (unlike PRMS) and publishes at increased geographic granularity than IPHRP. The Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) reflects price changes for all privately-rented properties (including for existing tenancies), not only changes for newly-advertised lets.
Annual percentage change
Average private rent was highest for properties with four or more bedrooms (£1,912) and lowest for properties with one bedroom (£995). In March 2024, the average monthly private rent was highest in London (£2,055) and lowest in the North East (£662). Annual rents inflation was lowest in the North East, at 6.1% in March 2024. This was up from 5.7% in February 2024, and represents the joint-highest annual percentage change since this series began in January 2006. Because of differences in data collection and housing policy, caution is advised when comparing Scotland's estimates with other areas in England and Wales and within Scotland.
Price Index of Private Rents QAAD Methodology | Released 20 March 2024 Quality assurance of administrative data (QAAD) used in the monthly production of Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR). We are investigating the feasibility of extending the time-series back further. The full UK House Price Index report and monthly data are published by HM Land Registry. Estimates for the City of London and Isles of Scilly are not published because of low collection volumes.
Private rent price by property size
Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) measures private rent inflation for new and existing tenancies. This means that a large proportion of data for Brent are from recent months. Since UK rents have been rising at a record-high pace for more than a year, this has led to a sharp increase in the estimated rent price for Brent recently. In England and Wales, achieved rents data are collected for both new and existing tenancies. Rent Officers receive a notification 12 months after a property's last update, supporting their aims to revisit properties.
There was a varied distribution in average monthly private rents across local authorities in England and Wales, and Broad Rental Market Areas in Scotland. Average UK house prices decreased 0.2% (provisional estimate) in the 12 months to February 2024, to £281,000. This was up from a decrease of 1.3% in the 12 months to January 2024 (revised estimate). Each subsequent month, updated Northern Ireland data are used to revise estimates for the UK. This means that there is a two-month revision period for the UK series in PIPR.
Price Index of Private Rents
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More information is available in our PIPR Quality and Methodology Information (QMI). Inflation is the rate at which prices (for renting or purchasing property) rise and fall over time. In their March 2024 UK Residential Market Survey, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) reported rising tenant demand and, for the 20th consecutive month, declining volume of new landlord instructions. Because of this imbalance, their respondents continue to expect rents to rise over the coming months. In recent periods, the total transaction volumes and new build volumes available to calculate UK HPI estimates for recent months have been lower than historically. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) and HM Land Registry (HMLR) are working to resolve this.
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Private rent and house prices, UK: April 2024
In March and April 2024, UK HPI estimates were revised from January 2021 onwards by making use of price data processed outside the UK HPI's normal 12-month revision period. Users should be aware that revisions may be larger than usual and should note the significantly greater uncertainty around new build prices. UK HPI will now return to the usual 12-month revision period for future releases. Average private rent for Wales was £727 in March 2024, up 9.0% (£60) from a year earlier. This annual rise was unchanged from the 12 months to February 2024, but remains below Wales's record-high annual rise of 9.8% in November 2023, which was the highest annual rise since this series began in 2010. These caps and restrictions will not be reflected in the price of new lets used to estimate the price of existing tenancies.
Scotland's annual inflation rate has been generally slowing since the record-high annual rise of 11.8% in August 2023, which was the highest annual rise since this series began in 2012. The Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) is released as official statistics in development, and is subject to revisions if improvements in the methodology are identified. Currently, average private rent is published for Great Britain, but not for the UK. We aim to publish average rent prices for the UK and Northern Ireland in March 2025. Housing prices in your area Interactive tool | Released 17 April 2024 Find house prices and private rental prices for local authority areas across Great Britain.
Excluding London, the local area with the highest average private rent in March 2024 was the City of Bristol, South West (£1,748). The average private rent in Great Britain was £1,246 in March 2024, which is £104 (9.1%) higher than 12 months ago. UK monthly rent estimates for the latest two months and UK HPI estimates for the latest 12 months are provisional and subject to revision.
Scotland rents data are predominantly for advertised new lets, with only a small proportion based on existing lets data. Therefore, price changes for existing tenancies are largely estimated for Scotland. Annually, over 450,000 private rent prices are collected in England and around 30,000 in Wales, 40,000 in Scotland, and 15,000 in Northern Ireland. Interchangeable with "annual inflation" (or "annual growth", if positive).
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